Modellers struggle to grasp epidemic's scope
Instead, they are asking how far and fast SARS will spread and whether it can be contained in relatively small outbreaks. At this point in time, epidemiologists simply don't know the answer.
In this article, Gretchen Vogel describes what researchers are doing to predict the course of the disease — which is now thought to be caused by a new type of coronavirus — both in terms of its incubation period and its route of transmission.
Link to Science article
Reference: Science 300, 558 (2003)