
Science and Development Network
News, views and information about science, technology and the developing world
Climate change may well impact insect-borne disease, but the exact consequences remain uncertain. How well can scientists predict problems both at the global and regional scale? And what can policymakers do to prepare?
Displaying 1-3 of 3 key documents
Source: WHO | 2005
This report from the WHO assesses the potential for creating early warning systems for vector-borne disease. It reviews the current state of research for several diseases such as dengue fever, leishmaniasis, malaria and West Nile virus.
The report includes an algorithmic framework for developing early warning systems, outlining data requirements and the different components of the system. It also contains two useful tables: one on the sensitivity of different infectious diseases to climate; and one summarising the existing research, identifying in which region the disease is most common, data availability and proposed actions.
A key problem in developing early warning systems, as highlighted by this report, is that non-climatic risk factors such as population immunity and food security strongly affect the potential for a disease outbreak. Equally challenging is the poor disease surveillance in many developing countries — the authors call on these countries to strengthen these systems, to help in the fight against climate change.
The report concludes that it will be important for researchers not to design these systems in isolation — health policymakers should be included at all stages of the design.
Source: Institute of Medicine | 2008
This extensive report from the Institute of Medicine of the US National Academies takes on the considerable challenge of understanding how, and to what extent, climate change will affect infectious diseases.
The report provides detailed summaries of current knowledge on diseases such as cholera and rift valley fever. Several pages are devoted to reviewing the latest climate science to contextualise the effect on infectious disease; it also includes several maps on climate anomalies to show how they are linked to disease.
One section highlights methods to assess climate change impacts on infectious diseases. These include analyses of historical records; monitoring programs, especially those that track disease in wild animals; and comparisons of satellite-derived environmental measurements with epidemiological data.
The report concludes with an analysis of the challenges facing policymakers. In many cases, it says, the best public health measures against climate change are those that strengthen health systems in general, such as better training for professionals and better disease surveillance. Policymakers will need to move away from the traditional thinking of individual policies for individual diseases, towards a joined-up approach aimed at tackling "systemic, long-term" stresses that cause a range of effects.
Source: WHO and UNICEF | May 2005
The Roll Back Malaria partnership aims to halve deaths from malaria by 2010. In its first comprehensive report since its launch in 1998, the partnership reveals that malaria still kills more than a million people a year in poor countries. But despite a resurgence of the disease in many parts of the world, the report outlines the progress being made in scaling-up control and prevention measures. These include fighting the spread of parasite resistance to drugs such as chloroquine by introducing new drugs, promoting the use of insecticide-treated nets and intermittent preventive treatment of pregnant mothers, and using early warning, detection and response systems to cope with epidemics. The full report and summary are available online in French and English.